ひずみの再分配

gooブログは、使い難く、ツイッターの動画もそうですが、この動画も貼れませんのでこちらにします。

本日、嫌なところが揺れましたね。

あの世でわざとやってるんですかね。

この件は明日以降にします。

新聞では震源の深さは「12km」とあったのですが、この表では「10km」になってます。

本震は「布田川断層帯(ふたがわだんそうたい)」が動いたようですが、4月14日の前震は「日奈久断層帯(ひなぐだんそうたい)」の北部が動いたようです。

ソース

日奈久断層帯は、3つの区間に分かれており、

1 高野ー白旗区間(しらはた)

2 日奈久区間

3 八代海区間

このうち北部の高野ー白旗区間が動いたようです。

ソース

発生確率は全国1位と言われていた断層です。

特集「九州の活断層の現状」(5)日奈久断層帯、発生確率は全国一 西日本新聞

全国187断層のうち、30年以内の発生確率が最大16%と全国で最も高いのが、日奈久断層帯の八代海区間(約30キロ)だ。

しかしてこの発生確率が最も高いと言われている日奈久断層の八代海区間は、今回の地震でも動いていません。

北東部の高野ー白旗区間が動きました。

記事はこう続きます。

文科省は2013年2月、今後30年以内にマグニチュード(M)6・8以上の大規模な地震が起きる確率を初めて地域別に算出した長期評価を公表した。

第1弾は九州だった。

発生確率は九州北部7~13%、中部18~27%、南部7~18%で、九州全体でみると30~42%。

これですね。

ソース

これですと長さ81kmの日奈久断層は、九州南部(7%~18%)に相当します。

想定されていた規模は、高野ー白旗区間が「マグニチュード6.8程度」、日奈久区間が「マグニチュード7.5程度」、八代海区間が「マグニチュード7.3程度」でした。

長さ64km、3つの区間に分かれている布田川断層帯のそれぞれの区間の想定マグニチュードは「7.0程度~7.2程度」であり、今回の本震(M7.3)は、想定を超えていたことが分かります。

布田川断層帯全体が動いた場合、想定マグニチュードは「7.5~7.8程度」です。

日奈久断層帯全体が動いた場合、想定マグニチュードは「7.7~8.0程度」です。

そして布田川断層と日奈久断層の全体が連動した場合の想定マグニチュードは「7.8~8.2程度」です。

地震は布田川・日奈久断層帯に沿うように発生 NHK

震源は阿蘇から大分方面へと北東方向に移動していたように見えたわけですが、本震以降、逆方向、つまり南西方向にも力が加わっており、微震が活発化しているようです。

日奈久断層の南西側の区間である「日奈久区間」と「八代海区間」での地震活動が活発化している。

しかも体に感じない小さな地震だそうです。

不気味な動きです。

特に最も南西側の八代海区間は、地震発生確率が全国1位であり、そこで微小地震が活発化しています。

川内原発からは50kmの距離です。

阿蘇山を中心に、そのカルデラ火口を押し広げるかのように北東と南西方向に力が加わっています。

NHKで、「今後、大丈夫か?」という記事が出ました。

広範囲でほかの活断層にひずみ 地震活動に注意を NHK

二つの断層にこういう方向で力が加わり・・・

ひずみが九州全土に再分配された。(ひずみの再分配

地震エネルギーであるひずみが、今回の大地震で解消されたのではなく、その地震エネルギーが再分配されたと恐ろしいことを、さらっと言っています。

その結果、青色部分はひずみが減少したけれども、赤色部分にひずみが加わっている。

この赤色部分の地域で地震が起こりやすくなっている。

この赤色、どちらも原発がある方向のような・・・。

遠田教授は、断層同士が反応すると言っています。

早く原発を止めた方がいいと思いますが、また巨大地震に遭遇して停電し、全電源喪失に陥り、メルトダウンを招いてしまいますと後悔、先に立たずとなります。

しかしてこれなどを見ておりますと、ひとまず安心していいのではないか。

緊急事態を想定した訓練 vol.9 九州川内原子力発電所

九州電力川内原子力発電所(鹿児島県薩摩川内市)では、過酷事故(シビアアクシデント)を想定した訓練を繰り返し実施しています。

例えば、非常用ディーゼル発電機を含めた全電源が失われ、原子炉に冷却するためのポンプが使えない深刻な事態を想定し、「移動式大容量発電機」(海抜28メートルの高台に配備)を起動する訓練や、電気を送るためのケーブルの繋ぎこみ訓練を毎月行っています。

また、原子炉や使用済燃料貯蔵プールの燃料を冷やすための水を仮設ポンプやホースを使って給水する訓練、津波で散乱したがれきをホイールローダで撤去する訓練等、様々なケースを想定した訓練を行っています。

さらに、いかなる状況でも対応できるよう、夜間あるいは雨等の厳しい条件下での訓練も繰り返し行っています。

非常用電源を含めた全電源喪失に陥っても対応できる訓練を毎月行っている、とあります。

原発を停止しても燃料棒は冷却し続けなければなりませんし、そのための電力もいる。

とにかく停電は許されない。

廃炉にするにも時間がかかる。

一旦、原発を動かしてしまいますと、そう簡単に廃炉や停止にはできないようです。

これもまたなるようになるのでしょう。

関連記事

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  2. カリフォルニアの山火事 過去最悪を更新

  3. 箱根山、20cmの隆起

  4. 消滅する熱帯雨林

  5. 桜島 本日495回目の爆発

  6. エピセンター(感染の震源地)

  7. 大雨特別警報 ?

  8. 燃え盛る業火

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