日銀の自己資本が間違っている

前回の記事の訂正です。

日銀の自己資本を5兆円と書いたらお叱りを受けました。

お前は間違っている。

日銀の自己資本は2.8兆円だ」と。

私は神理の専門家であって、経済の専門家でもないので、ごくごく常識的範囲の認識しかもっておりませんのであしからず。

でも間違いは間違いですので、大体5兆円前後だろうぐらいの認識しかもっておりませんでした。

というのは自己資本の額は変化していくので、いちいちその都度覚えてられません。

大体はあっているはずで、それほどの問題とは思っていないわけですが、今回は多少調べてみました。

第130回事業年度(平成26年度)上半期財務諸表等についてから引用します。

8. 自己資本残高及び自己資本比率の推移

通常、中央銀行の自己資本とは、「資本金」と「法定準備金」を合わせたものを言うと思います。

資本金、1億円と法定準備金、2兆8862億円を合わせた計、2兆8863億円が日銀の自己資本と言われていると思います。

2.8兆円ではなく、正確には2.9兆円ですね。

資本勘定と言われるものですが、私の記憶ではこれは「狭義の自己資本」であって、確かニュースではこの数字をよく使っていると思いますが、これだけですと自己資本比率が正確に出せなくなりますので、ずっと広義の自己資本を自己資本と思っておりました。

資本金と法定準備金の資本勘定と引当金勘定をあわせたものが、広義の自己資本でしょう。

表にも自己資本残高とあるはずです。

資本金と法定準備金を合わせた狭義の自己資本2兆8863億円と引当金勘定3兆8021億円を合わせた計6兆6885億円(端数を切り上げていますが)が広義の自己資本であり、そう認識しておりました。

この数字を使って日銀の自己資本比率を出しているわけですから、この6兆6885億円を銀行券平均発行残高、86兆1546億円で割ります。

6兆6885億円÷86兆1546億円=0.077633・・・となり、日銀の自己資本比率は「7.76%」となる。

一番下にもそう書いてある。

自己資本の占める割合を自己資本比率と言いますから、明らかに6兆6885億円の数字を使っているわけです。

だから大体ですが、5兆円前後と思っていました。

従って現時点では日銀の狭義の自己資本は約2.9兆円であり、広義の自己資本は約6.7兆円と言うことになります。

ニュース報道では、理由は知りませんけれども大体、前者の狭義の自己資本の数字を使っているようです。

問題点は自己資本ではなく、一時停止している「銀行券ルール」を戻せるのかということであり、例えばこんなことを言っているわけです。

銀行券ルールいずれ復活、その通り=黒田日銀総裁

銀行券ルールとは、日銀が引き受ける長期国債の総額を、日本銀行券の流通残高以下に収めるという政策です。

日本銀行券の発行残高は、86兆4618億円です。

発行銀行券のところを見てください。

日銀の保有している国債は280兆円です。

これは今後も増加していきます。

今後、日銀が保有する280兆円もの国債を86兆4618億円以下に戻すことができるのかと言うことです。

戻すには200兆円以上も日銀は国債を売らなければならなくなる。

確かうろ覚えですが日銀は一度も国債を売ったことはなかったのではないか。

年間80兆円の国債を買うと言っているわけですから、3年もすれば240兆円も増えます。

280兆+240兆=520兆円です。

いずれ「銀行券ルール」を復活させるというが、これをどうやって86兆4618億円以下に戻せると言うのか。

普通に考えても不可能に見えます。

3年後、日銀が仮に国債を520兆円保有しているとして、430兆円以上を売らなければならない。

10年で減らすとしても年43兆円以上売り、20年で売るとしても年21兆円の売り圧力となる。

荒唐無稽に見えます。

だから無理でしょう。

この金融緩和に出口はない。

ただひたすら国債を購入していくしか手がない。

金融緩和をやめたら、長期金利がすぐに上昇を始めるでしょうから、やめることができない。

福島と同様「チェックメイト」でしょう。

この異常な国債買いを日本のことわざでは、「骨折り損のくたびれ儲け」と言います。

あるいは「元の木阿弥」とか「水の泡」とも言います。

もっと言えば「ぬかに釘」とも言いますね。

国債好きの日銀は「国債フェチ」に見えます。

大体、みんな思っているわけです。

市場を迂回しようが、政府から直接買おうが、日銀が今行っていることは、実質的な国債の直接引き受けであり、財政法第5条への抵触です。

人は利益を得んとする時、犯罪を犯す。

この国は「神と学」とのとどめの戦いと言われていたはずであり、神の心によって生きんとする者と神の体によって生きんとする「学」との戦いであり、あくまで神の体が意味する「富と快楽」を基準とし、富で経済を復活させようとする無謀な行為を繰り返すならば、富と共にその者が消滅していくであろう。

この国は富をなくすと宣言している国ですよ。

富即我の方は、富がなくなるわけですから富と一体化した富即我の方は、富がなくなればその我もまた富と共になくなる。

宇宙即我の方は宇宙はなくなりませんから、その我もなくならない。

ただ大雑把に5兆円と書いたのは、不正確ですので一応訂正しておきます。

正確に越したことはありませんからね。

本日は神理に関する記事を予定していたのですが、これは次回以降に譲ります。

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